See the forces behind the price
Basirah Chart
Price, plus what the eye cannot see: the paths history took from similar moments, the probability cone, whale footprints, liquidity walls and the zones where leveraged traders get forced out.
Why this is happening
Basirah reads the market for you: forces, footprints, history and news, in plain words.
Al-Mizan: the balance of forces
Eight forces push on the price. Each is weighted by how strong the research evidence behind it is.
Crowd emotion cycle
Where the crowd stands right now, and what usually goes wrong for traders at this stage.
Hidden-hands radar
Footprints big players leave in public data, each matched to the Islamic rule it relates to.
Whales, exchanges and leverage
What the big accounts, exchanges, ETFs and stablecoin issuers are doing.
History Echo
The past moments that looked most like today, and what happened next. History rhymes; it does not repeat.
Three scenarios for the next 7 days
Estimated likelihoods with price ranges and the conditions that would make each one more likely. Not targets, and never an instruction.
News, people and governments
Headlines from major newsrooms, central banks and regulators, tagged by who is speaking and checked against other outlets (tabayyun, Qur'an 49:6).
Market constellation
Every coin on the Barqish radar at once: the balance of forces, leverage heat and crowd stage. Tap a star to open it.
Why traders lose here
Honest scorecard
Basirah grades itself in public, misses included.
Shariah lens
How Basirah works
1. It reads everything that moves price
Every few minutes Basirah pulls live spot and futures data from Binance, OKX, Bybit, Coinbase and Kraken; stablecoin supply from DefiLlama; US spot ETF flows; the S&P 500, the dollar, yields and gold; the Fear & Greed index; and headlines from CoinDesk, The Block, Cointelegraph, Decrypt, Bitcoin Magazine, the Federal Reserve, the SEC, the CFTC, the ECB, Dawn, Business Recorder and Express Tribune.
2. It weighs forces by evidence
Momentum over 1 to 4 weeks has the strongest research behind it (Liu & Tsyvinski, Review of Financial Studies), so it carries the most weight. Funding rates and open interest mostly predict crash risk, not direction (BIS Working Paper 1087), so they count as risk. Fear & Greed and headline tone are weak signals and get small weights.
3. It looks for hidden hands
Wash trading, pump bursts, spoofing walls, stop-hunt sweeps, moves before the news and exchange price breaks each leave footprints in public data. Each detector is named after the Islamic prohibition it relates to: najash, ghish, talaqqi al-rukban, maysir.
4. It remembers history
History Echo searches up to 2,000 days of each coin's past for the moments most like today, by price shape, trend, drawdown and volatility, and shows what followed. A pooled model trained on 40 coins is re-tested every night on data it has never seen.
5. It says how sure it is
Likelihoods are pulled toward the coin's normal base rate unless the model has proven skill out of sample. Peer-reviewed crypto forecasting lands around 52 to 60% on direction. Anyone promising 90% is selling you something.
6. It never tells you to buy or sell
No entries, stop-losses or targets. Futures data is shown only as a warning about the crowd's borrowed betting. Spot only, your own money, no interest. Scholars differ on crypto itself (Darul Uloom Karachi, June 2026, holds buying crypto impermissible; SC Malaysia permits spot trading on registered exchanges). Ask a scholar you trust.
Out-of-sample test of the 7-day model (19,818 coin-days since 2023-10-12): 51.6% correct on direction vs 46.2% for simply guessing "up" every time; 52.3% on its 8,476 more confident calls. See the live scorecard on this page.
Educational research, not financial advice and not a fatwa. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Basirah shows probabilities from observable data, not certainty: "No soul knows what it will earn tomorrow" (Qur'an 31:34). Allah knows best.